Impact of Precipitation and Weather Conditions on Ukraine’s Agricultural Sector and Global Markets in 2025
In 2025, weather conditions will determine Ukraine’s agricultural sector and influence global agricultural product markets. In particular, the lack of precipitation in the country and heavy rains in the USA are shaping new trends in farming and trading.
This is reported by AgroReview
Weather Conditions in Ukraine and Their Impact on the Sowing Campaign
According to the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center, as of today, weather conditions remain challenging in most regions of Ukraine, except for the western areas. Severe frosts and snow in the second decade of April negatively affected the early development of spring grains and legumes, and complicated spring fieldwork and the flowering of fruits and berries.
“Severe frosts with snow in the second decade of April negatively impacted the initial growth of early spring grains and legumes, the conduct of spring fieldwork, and the flowering of fruit and berry crops”
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Despite this, low temperatures and snow contributed to replenishing productive moisture reserves in the soil, as confirmed by the data from the decadal review of the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center. By the end of the decade, the moisture level in the upper layers of the soil became sufficient or optimal in most regions, except for Odesa, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk regions, where critically low moisture reserves were observed.
Weather Forecast and Its Impact on Agriculture in Ukraine and Worldwide
In the coming week, an increase in temperature above normal is expected in most agricultural regions of Ukraine, which will accelerate the start of sowing, especially considering the forecasted precipitation at the end of the week. This will create favorable conditions for the activation of fieldwork.
Abroad, in the USA, favorable conditions for sowing have developed in major agricultural regions, although heavy precipitation may temporarily halt work. At the same time, this precipitation will increase moisture reserves, particularly in the southwestern regions of the country.
In Brazil, where second-crop corn is grown, good rains are falling, positively impacting the development of the crops. Further continuation of these rains is expected over the next week, which is particularly important before the start of the drought season in May–June.
In Argentina, prolonged rains are delaying soybean harvesting. According to the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, only 5% of the area has been harvested, while the average is 31%. A decrease in precipitation and improvement in weather conditions are expected over the weekend, which will allow for the acceleration of the harvest. While the rains improve the prospects for corn yields, delays in harvesting may reduce the potential soybean yield due to possible flooding.
In Western Australia, heavy rains are contributing to the accumulation of moisture necessary for sowing winter wheat and canola. In the northeastern regions of the country, precipitation is forecasted for next week, which will improve yield estimates for canola and grains in this region, currently higher than last year.